QUARTERLY MARKET & PORTFOLIO COMMENTARY
4th Quarter 2008
Friday, October 6, 2008
By William H. Young
Sea (See) Change
Sea Change as defined by the American Heritage Dictionary as a marked
transformation. That is an explanation of the current economic and
market conditions we now face. The banking system that we have been
familiar with is transforming to adapt to global and national economic
trends, redefining how individuals and business will handle normal
transactions and obtain credit. Politically, the country will select
a new, non-incumbent president during this quarter. Institutional Fund
managers are faced with asset class and allocation decisions based
on portfolio performance and changing trends. The definition of Sea
Change is definitely applicable when one looks at today’s conditions.
Sea Change will mean that we will See Change. During this market turmoil,
changes in the rules and regulations in the financial industry will
require investors to pay close attention to the new structure of financial
institutions and concentrate on the new opportunities that will arise
during this time of change. Additionally, we could possibly see other
business combinations and new business strategies as this financial
Sea Change takes hold.
In my over thirty year career of investing, I have experienced many
Sea Change events, e.g. the Hunt family attempt at cornering the silver
market, the oil embargo, October 19,1987, September 11, all which had
major effects on the market and the economy. In every instance, when
conditions settled and the change begin to take effect, investors that
had been disciplined were rewarded. Experience tells me that we will
See Change and the markets will recover.
Buford Dickson Harper & Sparrow continues to have a disciplined
long-term perspective of the market. Stock selection, earnings acceleration
and multiple expansions will remain key to market performance for the
remainder of the year. Our firm’s long-term investment discipline,
strategic stock selection and solid investment philosophy should continue
to position clients to weather these turbulent times and be in position
when positive market trends return.
William H. Young
President